1/17/24
That will be the headline on November 6th, 2024. Ignore the obvious that the Democrats will not allow Trump to take back the Whitehouse. They will cheat their way to assure that won’t happen if necessary, however that is plan B. Their first priority is to get things lined up for a summer recasting of the entire election; its candidates and issues.
Biden will not be the nominee nor will Harris. Biden will have stepped down just prior to the Democratic convention for “medical reasons” throwing open the convention to nominate a new candidate. Harris will garner a smattering of delegate votes leaving the Democrats to pick either Newsom or Whitmer, their only two relevant substitutes. (How’s that for a deep bench!)
Either can win by hammering home the abortion issue, danger to democracy and “bad Trump”. They should also have the wind at their back as immigration counts drop dramatically from this administration’s soon to happen, about face on Trump era controls. Add their campaign rhetoric cherry picked data on a recovering economy that will be propelled further by the politicized Fed’s rate cuts and you can see a clear path to 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.
With a derelict opposition party, this scenario is all too possible. The republican party has been following a strategy of appeasement for so many election cycles that it is hard to believe we really have two parties. Rather than “speak the truth”, co-opting one former candidate’s slogan, they hide behind “we’re in the minority and have to capitulate compromise”. Citizens are ripe for being told the many benefits of capitalism, that children are the singular responsibility of parents, the need for more discussion and not more censorship, that prudent steps are needed to prevent fraud in our elections, that our fiscal house is crumbling and yes, entitlements will have to be reined in, and finally, in the end, you have to make your own relationship with God on the issue of abortion.
Even the simple blocking and tackling of elections is lost on this moribund party. The RNC repeatedly mailed me solicitations for money with laughable surveys inserted yet never called to make sure I was going to vote. I would gladly put a lawn sign, man a phone bank or do other volunteer activities but again, never asked nor given an avenue to offer. With union organizations and myriad of other groups aligned with the Democrats, these are the kind of basics a party must have organized. Don’t even get me started on social media, fund raising. Anyone heard of “Win Red”?
Let’s hope I’m all wet. I would love to be wrong on who will move in to the Whitehouse in 2025.